By Burnett Munthali
Macroeconomic indicators suggest the first signs of traction, providing a glimpse of hope for Malawi, a country that has been grappling with economic challenges for far too long.
Inflation, which peaked at 28.7 percent in September 2025, is projected to fall below 21 percent in 2026, offering relief to households and businesses that have been battered by soaring prices.

This downward trend is a testament to the government’s commitment to tackling the country’s economic woes head-on, and it is expected to have a positive impact on the lives of ordinary Malawians.
Economic growth is expected to rise from 2.7 percent to 3.8 percent next year, accelerating further to 4.9 percent in 2027, providing a clear indication that the government’s economic policies are starting to bear fruit.
This growth trajectory is impressive, and it is a testament to the government’s ability to create an environment that is conducive to business and investment.
Foreign exchange reserves remain tight, but corrective measures are underway, demonstrating the government’s willingness to take tough decisions to address the country’s economic challenges.
The government is reviewing forex regulations, expanding gold purchases, and exploring gold monetization to strengthen reserves and improve liquidity, providing a much-needed boost to the country’s foreign exchange position.
These measures are expected to help stabilize the kwacha and improve the country’s ability to import essential goods and services.
Austerity measures — including reduced ministerial fuel allocations and tighter travel controls — signal a shift toward fiscal prudence, demonstrating the government’s commitment to responsible financial management.
This shift is critical for rebuilding investor confidence and creating a stable economic environment that is conducive to growth and development.
For investors watching closely, the message is one of stabilization before expansion, providing a clear indication that the government is focused on creating a strong foundation for long-term growth and development.
This approach is commendable, as it recognizes that sustainable economic growth can only be achieved by addressing the underlying challenges facing the economy.
The early signals from Mutharika’s administration are promising, and they suggest that the country is on the path to stability and prosperity.
However, it is essential to note that the journey ahead will be challenging, and the government will need to continue to implement bold and decisive policies to address the country’s economic challenges.
The stakes are high, but the potential rewards are significant, and it is hoped that the government will be able to deliver on its promises and improve the lives of all Malawians.







